---

VIII. Recommendations (Prioritized)

1. EXTREME PRIORITY: Verify "Zircon" Missile Claim:

   • Immediately deploy all available intelligence assets (technical intelligence, signals intelligence, human intelligence) to confirm or refute the reported use of a "Zircon" hypersonic missile by Russia.
   • Analyze any available evidence (wreckage, impact craters, radar data) to determine the missile type.
   • Assess the implications of confirmed "Zircon" use for Ukrainian air defense capabilities and the overall threat landscape. This would represent a major escalation and require a reassessment of air defense strategies.

2. EXTREME PRIORITY: Maintain Maximum Air Defense Readiness (Nationwide):

   • Given the persistent threats of ballistic missiles, guided aerial bombs, and widespread drone attacks, maintain the highest level of alert for all air defense systems across Ukraine.
   • Prioritize protection of critical infrastructure, population centers, and military assets.
   • Continuously monitor airspace for incoming threats and ensure rapid response protocols are in place.
   • Deploy all available resources, including electronic warfare systems, to counter drone attacks.

3. EXTREME PRIORITY: Verify and Respond to Conflicting Claims on Multiple Fronts:

   • Deploy all available intelligence assets to confirm or refute the numerous conflicting claims of advances and counterattacks, particularly in the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Kupyansk directions.
   • Prioritize verification of territorial control in key areas, such as Figolevka (Kupyansk) and the areas around Yampolivka and Terny (Lyman).
   • Assess the impact of any confirmed changes in control on Ukrainian defensive positions and supply lines.
   • Prepare for potential counteroffensives or adjustments to defensive lines based on verified information.

4. HIGH PRIORITY: Enhance Counter-Drone Capabilities:

   • Continue to prioritize the development, deployment, and training on counter-drone technologies and tactics.
   • Focus on disrupting Russian drone reconnaissance and targeting capabilities, as well as intercepting attack drones.
   • Share intelligence on Russian drone tactics and vulnerabilities with frontline units.

5. HIGH PRIORITY: Address Geopolitical Uncertainty:

   • Intensify diplomatic efforts to secure continued support from international partners, particularly the US.
   • Prepare for potential scenarios involving reduced or conditional US aid.
   • Explore alternative sources of military and financial assistance.
   • Monitor developments related to potential US-Russia negotiations and assess their implications for Ukraine.

6. HIGH PRIORITY: Counter Russian Information Warfare:

   • Continue to actively counter Russian disinformation and propaganda.
   • Promote accurate information through reliable media channels and international platforms.
   • Highlight Russian war crimes and violations of international law.
   • Address internal challenges and maintain public confidence.

7. HIGH PRIORITY: Address Humanitarian Situation:

   • Provide assistance to civilians affected by shelling, air strikes, and drone attacks.
   • Ensure access to essential services (food, water, shelter, medical care).
   • Prepare for potential evacuations from threatened areas.

8. MEDIUM PRIORITY: Investigate Internal Ukrainian Issues:

   • Address concerns about forceful mobilization practices and potential tensions within the military.
   • Monitor morale and take steps to improve it where necessary.

9. MEDIUM PRIORITY: Investigate Internal Russian Issues:

   • Monitor reports of Russian deserters, morale problems, and logistical challenges.
   • Exploit any vulnerabilities through information operations.
   • Continue to monitor Russian internal developments.

10. LOW PRIORITY: Investigate the Moscow Fire:

• Verify the cause of the fire, and that it is unrelated to the military situation.
• Expect and prepare for a propaganda campaign by Russia.

11. ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT.

---

The situation in Ukraine remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND HIGHLY VOLATILE. The POTENTIAL USE OF A "ZIRCON" MISSILE, if confirmed, represents a MAJOR ESCALATION. The INTENSE FIGHTING across multiple fronts, the WIDESPREAD DRONE WARFARE, and the UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING US AID continue to pose SIGNIFICANT CHALLENGES. VERIFICATION OF KEY CLAIMS, RAPID RESPONSE CAPABILITIES, AND EFFECTIVE INTELLIGENCE GATHERING are crucial. STRONG INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT and INTERNAL UNITY are essential for Ukraine's survival.

Daily Report from 2025-02-13 15:46:30:

Daily Intelligence Briefing: Ukraine - February 12, 2025 (End of Day)

Prepared for: Ukrainian High Command Prepared by: Military Intelligence AI Assistant Date: February 12, 2025 (23:59 UTC)

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I. Executive Summary

The military situation in Ukraine on February 12, 2025, remained highly dynamic and complex, characterized by intense fighting across multiple fronts, continued widespread drone warfare, escalating air and missile threats, and significant geopolitical developments. While Ukrainian forces have achieved some tactical successes, the overall strategic picture is increasingly challenging, with persistent Russian pressure and growing concerns about long-term Western support.

Key Developments & Assessments:

• Intensified Ground Combat (Multiple Fronts): The most significant development is the intensification of ground combat across several key axes, particularly in the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Kupyansk directions. Russian forces are attempting to exploit previous gains and are applying significant pressure on Ukrainian defenses. Conflicting claims of advances and counterattacks persist, making accurate assessment of territorial control difficult. The Kursk region (inside Russia) remains a highly active and contested area.
• Escalating Air and Missile Threats: The threat of air and missile attacks, including ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and guided aerial bombs, has increased significantly. Russian forces are actively targeting critical infrastructure and military positions across Ukraine. Air defense readiness is paramount.
• Widespread Drone Warfare: Drone warfare remains a dominant feature of the conflict, with both sides employing UAVs extensively for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks.
• Geopolitical Uncertainty: Concerns about the future of Western support, particularly from the US, are growing. Discussions about potential US-Russia negotiations and a potential shift in US policy under a Trump administration add to the uncertainty.
• Information Warfare: The information environment is highly contested, with both sides engaging in intense propaganda efforts and making conflicting claims.
• Potential War Crimes: Several reports require investigation.

---

II. Situation by Region/Area of Operations (Key Developments)

A. Donetsk Oblast

• Pokrovsk Direction: This remains the most intense area of combat, with numerous clashes reported and both sides claiming successes. Russian forces are attempting to advance, while Ukrainian forces are actively defending and conducting counterattacks. The situation is fluid and highly volatile. Verification of specific territorial control is crucial.
• Lyman Direction: Confirmed Russian advances near Yampolivka and Terny pose a significant threat to Ukrainian defenses. Russian forces are attempting to expand their bridgehead and potentially encircle Ukrainian units.
• Toretsk: Conflicting reports about the control of Toretsk persist, with the situation likely one of ongoing urban warfare.
• Chasiv Yar: Continued fighting reported, with both sides utilizing drones.
• Avdiivka: Positional fighting continues.
• Siversk Direction: Clashes continue.

B. Kharkiv Region

• Kupyansk Direction: This remains a critical area, with reported Russian advances and Ukrainian efforts to reinforce defenses. The claimed capture of Figolevka by Russian forces, if confirmed, would represent a significant setback.
• Sumy Region: Continued reports of air strikes (guided bombs) and drone attacks, targeting both military positions and civilian infrastructure.
• Kharkiv, Shevchenkove, Velykyi Burluk, and Hryanykivka: Reports of clashes and attacks.

C. Kursk Region (Russia)

• Confirmed Ukrainian Operations: Ukrainian forces continue to operate inside Russian territory, with reports of clashes and claims of inflicting significant casualties.
• Conflicting Claims: Reports of Ukrainian territorial control and alleged atrocities require urgent and independent investigation.

D. Zaporizhzhia Region

• Continued Shelling and Drone Attacks: Reports of shelling, drone attacks, and air raid alerts persist.
• Robotyne: Reports of continued attacks.

E. Other Regions

• Dnipro: Reports of drone threats, and a confirmed drone strike in the region.
• Mykolaiv: Reports of explosions, requiring investigation.
• Kherson Region: Continued reports of drone activity.
• Poltava Region: Confirmed air strikes.

---

III. Drone Warfare Analysis

• Dominant and Escalating: Drone warfare remains the most prominent and pervasive element of the conflict. Both sides are utilizing drones extensively for all aspects of military operations.
• Long-Range Strikes: Ukrainian forces have demonstrated the capability to conduct drone strikes deep inside Russian territory (e.g., Afipsky Oil Refinery, Volgograd).
• Technological Advances: Both sides are continuously adapting and innovating, with reports of new drone types, tactics, and countermeasures.

---

IV. Air and Missile Threat Analysis

• Persistent and Widespread: The threat of air and missile attacks remains extremely high across Ukraine, with reports of guided aerial bombs, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles.
• "Zircon" Missile Claim (Requires Verification): The reported use of a "Zircon" hypersonic missile, if confirmed, would represent a major escalation.
• Targeting: Russian forces continue to target critical infrastructure, military positions, and civilian areas.

---

V. Geopolitical Developments

• US Aid Uncertainty: The continued delay in a new US aid package for Ukraine is a major concern, potentially impacting military capabilities in the near term.
• Potential US-Russia Negotiations: Discussions and reports surrounding potential negotiations ("Yalta 2.0") continue, creating uncertainty about the future of the conflict.
• Trump's Influence: Reports suggest a Trump advisor is developing a peace plan, and Trump's statements on the conflict are creating further uncertainty.
• International Support: Continued diplomatic efforts and engagement with international partners (e.g., Zelenskyy's meetings) remain crucial.

---

VI. Information Warfare

• Intense and Ongoing: Both sides are actively engaged in information warfare, with conflicting claims and propaganda efforts.
• Key Themes:
  • Russian sources emphasize Ukrainian losses, Russian successes, and alleged Ukrainian atrocities.
  • Ukrainian sources highlight Russian losses, Ukrainian resilience, Western support, and potential war crimes committed by Russian forces.
• Critical Assessment: Careful analysis and independent verification are essential to distinguish between factual information and propaganda.

---

VII. Other Developments

• Internal Ukrainian Issues:

• Reported criticism of the military.

• Internal Russian Issues:

• Reports of corruption.

• Reports of Russian deserters.

• Arrest of military for corruption.

• Arrest of citizens for anti-war activity.

• Arrest of military for incompetence.

---

VIII. Critical Information Gaps

• Confirmation of "Zircon" Missile Use: [Extreme Priority] Independent verification of the reported use of a "Zircon" missile is crucial.
• Details of Trump's Peace Plan: The specifics of the plan and its potential impact on Ukraine remain unknown.
• Extent of Russian Advances: Numerous claims of Russian advances across multiple fronts require confirmation.
• Kursk Region Situation: The full extent of Ukrainian operations inside Russia and the control of territory remain unclear.
• Cause of Mykolaiv explosions.
• Claimed strikes. Confirmation needed.

---

IX. Recommendations (Prioritized)

1. EXTREME PRIORITY: Verify and Respond to Intensified Ground Combat (Multiple Fronts):

   • Deploy all available intelligence assets (satellite imagery, drone reconnaissance, human intelligence) to confirm or refute the numerous reports of intensified ground combat and claimed advances by both sides, particularly in the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Kupyansk directions.
   • Prioritize verification of territorial control in key areas, such as Figolevka (Kupyansk) and the areas around Yampolivka and Terny (Lyman).
   • Assess the impact of any confirmed changes in control on Ukrainian defensive positions and supply lines.
   • Prepare for potential counteroffensives or adjustments to defensive lines based on verified information.
   • Reinforce threatened areas with personnel and equipment.

2. EXTREME PRIORITY: Maintain Maximum Air Defense Readiness (Nationwide):

   • Given the persistent threats of ballistic missiles, guided aerial bombs, cruise missiles, and widespread drone attacks, maintain the highest level of alert for all air defense systems across Ukraine.
   • Prioritize protection of critical infrastructure, population centers, and military assets.
   • Continuously monitor airspace for incoming threats and ensure rapid response protocols are in place.
   • Deploy all available resources, including electronic warfare systems, to counter drone attacks.

3. EXTREME PRIORITY: Investigate "Zircon" Missile Claim:

   • Immediately deploy all available intelligence assets (technical intelligence, signals intelligence, human intelligence) to confirm or refute the reported use of a "Zircon" hypersonic missile by Russia.
   • Analyze any available evidence (wreckage, impact craters, radar data) to determine the missile type.
   • Assess the implications of confirmed "Zircon" use for Ukrainian air defense capabilities and the overall threat landscape.

4. HIGH PRIORITY: Enhance Counter-Drone Capabilities:

   • Continue to prioritize the development, deployment, and training on counter-drone technologies and tactics.
   • Focus on disrupting Russian drone reconnaissance and targeting capabilities, as well as intercepting attack drones.
   • Share intelligence on Russian drone tactics and vulnerabilities with frontline units.

5. HIGH PRIORITY: Address Geopolitical Uncertainty:

   • Intensify diplomatic efforts to secure continued support from international partners, particularly the US.
   • Prepare for potential scenarios involving reduced or conditional US aid.
   • Explore alternative sources of military and financial assistance.
   • Monitor developments related to potential US-Russia negotiations and assess their implications for Ukraine.

6. HIGH PRIORITY: Counter Russian Information Warfare:

   • Continue to actively counter Russian disinformation and propaganda.
   • Promote accurate information through reliable media channels and international platforms.
   • Highlight Russian war crimes and violations of international law.
   • Address internal challenges and maintain public confidence.

7. HIGH PRIORITY: Address Humanitarian Situation:

   • Provide assistance to civilians affected by shelling, air strikes, and drone attacks.
   • Ensure access to essential services (food, water, shelter, medical care).
   • Prepare for potential evacuations from threatened areas.

8. MEDIUM PRIORITY: Investigate Internal Ukrainian Issues:

   • Address concerns about forceful mobilization practices and potential tensions within the military.
   • Monitor morale and take steps to improve it where necessary.

9. MEDIUM PRIORITY: Investigate Internal Russian Issues:

   • Monitor reports of Russian deserters, morale problems, logistical challenges, and corruption.
   • Exploit any vulnerabilities through information operations.

10. INVESTIGATE MYKOLAIV EXPLOSION (HIGH PRIORITY):

• Gather evidence.

11. ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT.

---

The situation in Ukraine is EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND HIGHLY VOLATILE. The INTENSIFIED GROUND COMBAT, ESCALATING AIR AND MISSILE THREATS, WIDESPREAD DRONE WARFARE, and UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING WESTERN SUPPORT are the MOST PRESSING CONCERNS. IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION is required to address these multiple, interconnected threats. VERIFICATION OF KEY CLAIMS, RAPID RESPONSE CAPABILITIES, EFFECTIVE INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, AND STRONG DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS are crucial.

Daily Report from 2025-02-15 15:46:11:

Daily Intelligence Briefing: Ukraine - February 15, 2025 (Afternoon Summary)

Prepared for: Ukrainian High Command

Prepared by: AI Military Intelligence Assistant

Date: February 15, 2025 (15:45 UTC)

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I. Executive Summary

The afternoon of February 15, 2025, has been characterized by a continuation of extremely high-intensity combat across multiple fronts, escalating drone warfare, significant geopolitical developments, and disturbing internal security threats. While Ukrainian forces have achieved some tactical successes, the overall strategic picture remains highly challenging and the threat level extremely high.

Key Developments and Assessments:

• Massive, Widespread Fighting (Confirmed): The Ukrainian General Staff reported an unprecedented 176 combat clashes as of 14:00 UTC, with many still ongoing. This indicates a major, country-wide escalation of ground combat. The Kupyansk and Pokrovsk directions are seeing the highest intensity fighting, with dozens of ongoing clashes. The Kursk direction also remains active.
• Confirmed Russian Advances (Multiple Fronts): Russian forces have made confirmed advances in several areas:
  • Berezovka (Donetsk Oblast): Confirmed capture by Russian forces.
  • Oskil River (Kupyansk Direction): Russian forces are consolidating positions on the right bank of the river, increasing the threat to Ukrainian defenses.
  • Yampolivka (Lyman Direction): Russian forces claim to have almost completely cleared Yampolivka and are expanding their bridgehead. Verification is crucial.
  • West of Kurakhove Russian forces are advancing, according to Russian sources.
• Intensified Drone Warfare:
  • Ukrainian Successes: Confirmed Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian equipment (ATGM positions, vehicles) and claims of downing numerous reconnaissance drones. Ukrainian forces are actively recruiting and training drone operators.
  • Russian Offensives: Confirmed Russian drone strikes, targeting Ukrainian infrastructure (including communication towers), equipment, and personnel. Reports of highly effective fiber-optic guided drones (requiring urgent investigation) are a major concern.
  • Widespread Activity: Air raid alerts and reports of drone activity continue across multiple regions.
  • Targeting of Civilians: Claims of Russian drone targeting of rescue workers after a strike on a residential building.
• Air and Missile Threats: Confirmed Russian use of guided aerial bombs (KABs) in Sumy and Zaporizhzhia regions, and continued ballistic missile threats from the east.
• Geopolitical Developments:
  • US-Ukraine Tensions: Zelensky's refusal to sign a US deal on mineral access without security guarantees is a major development, potentially straining relations.
  • Trump Factor: Trump's role in any future negotiations, and the potential for a US policy shift under a new administration, remains a critical factor.
  • European Support: Continued discussions about increased European military support for Ukraine, including potential troop deployments post-conflict, and a call for a "European Armed Forces" by Zelensky.
  • Kellogg's Statements: US Special Representative Kellogg emphasized the need for Ukrainian involvement in any peace negotiations and a timeframe of "days and weeks" for decisions.
• Internal Security Threats: The reported suicide bombing in Mykolaiv, if confirmed, represents a major escalation in internal conflict and requires urgent investigation.
• Chernobyl Incident: Continued efforts to extinguish the fire on the New Safe Confinement arch, with no radiation increase reported. However, the long-term risk remains high.
• Information Warfare: Intense propaganda and disinformation campaigns continue on both sides, making independent verification of claims essential.
• Economic Impact: Ukrainian infrastructure damage is rising, reaching $170 billion.

---

II. Situation by Region/Area of Operations (Key Developments)

A. Donetsk Oblast

• Pokrovsk Direction: [Extreme Priority] The epicenter of the most intense fighting, with a staggering 47 Russian attacks reported as of 14:00 UTC, 23 still ongoing. Russian forces are attempting to dislodge Ukrainian units near multiple settlements, with confirmed advances near Zelene Pole, Tarasivka, and Vodyane Druhe. Conflicting reports persist, making independent verification of territorial control crucial.
• Lyman Direction: [Extreme Priority] Intense fighting continues, with Russian forces claiming near-total control of Yampolivka and expansion of their bridgehead. Urgent verification is needed.
• Kupyansk Direction: [Extreme Priority] A very high number of clashes (35 attacks, 23 ongoing) is reported, indicating intense Russian pressure. The situation around the Oskil River bridgehead is critical.
• Siversk Direction: Confirmed clashes and attacks.
• Toretsk Direction: Continued clashes, with Russian attempts to break through.
• Kramatorsk Direction: Russian attempts to break through to Predtechyne, Stupochky, Bila Hora, and near Chasiv Yar.
• Novopavlivsk Direction: Russian attempts to break through, clashes ongoing.

B. Kharkiv Region

• Kupyansk Direction: Remains a critical area, with Russian forces consolidating on the right bank of the Oskil River.
• Sumy Region: Confirmed Russian air strikes with guided bombs and continued drone activity.
• Vovchansk: Confirmed clashes.
• Kharkiv, Shevchenkove, Velykyi Burluk, and Hryanykivka: Reports of clashes and attacks.

C. Kursk Region (Russia)

• Continued Fighting: Confirmed clashes, air strikes, and shelling. Ukrainian forces are operating inside Russian territory.
• Alleged Atrocities: Reports of alleged Ukrainian atrocities against civilians require urgent investigation.

D. Zaporizhzhia Region

• Confirmed Air Strikes and Shelling: Russian forces are conducting air strikes (including with KABs) and shelling multiple settlements.
• Huliaipole Direction: Russian air strikes with KABs.
• Orikhiv, Prydniprovsk, and Huliaipil Directions: No combat clashes reported.

E. Other Regions

• Mykolaiv: Reported suicide bombing near a military recruitment center requires urgent investigation. Drone activity reported.
• Kherson Region: Continued reports of drone activity.
• Dnipropetrovsk Region: Confirmed shelling of the Marhanets community, and drone threats.
• Chernihiv Region: Reported artillery and mortar attacks on several settlements.
• Volgograd (Russia): Confirmed drone strike on a residential building, resulting in at least one fatality. Industrial fire also reported.
• Kaluga Region: Confirmed a fire at an industrial facility.
• Rostov Oblast (Russia): Reports of drone debris.
• Saratov Oblast: Confirmed drone threat, with reports of air raid sirens.

---

III. Drone Warfare Analysis

• Dominant and Escalating: Drone warfare remains the primary feature of the conflict. Both sides are employing drones extensively for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks.
• New Russian Capability (Fiber-Optic): Reports of Russian forces using fiber-optic guided drones represent a major technological advancement and a significant threat. These drones are reportedly highly effective and resistant to jamming.
• Ukrainian Countermeasures: Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian drones, claiming successes in downing reconnaissance UAVs and using electronic warfare to neutralize guided bombs.
• Targeting of Civilians: The confirmed drone strike on a residential building in Volgograd underscores the threat to civilian populations.

---

IV. Air and Missile Threat Analysis

• Persistent and Widespread: The threat of air and missile attacks, including ballistic missiles and guided aerial bombs (KABs), remains extremely high across Ukraine.
• Confirmed KAB Use: Russian forces are confirmed to be using KABs in multiple regions.
• Ballistic Missile Threat: While the immediate threat level has fluctuated, the potential for ballistic missile attacks persists.

---

V. Geopolitical Developments

• US-Ukraine Tensions: Zelensky's refusal to sign a US deal on mineral access without security guarantees is a major development, potentially straining relations.
• Trump Factor: Trump's role in potential negotiations and the future of US policy towards Ukraine remains a critical uncertainty.
• European Support: Growing calls for increased European military support for Ukraine, including discussions of potential troop deployments post-conflict and a "European Armed Forces."
• NATO Membership: Continued discussions about Ukraine's potential NATO membership, but no immediate prospect of accession.
• Kellogg's Statements: US Special Representative Kellogg emphasizes Ukrainian involvement in negotiations, a fast timeline for decisions, and US mediation between Ukraine and Russia. He also warns of long-term consequences for ceasefire violations.
• Hungary Block: Hungary is blocking progress in the EU.

---

VI. Information Warfare

• Intense and Ongoing: Both sides are heavily engaged in information warfare, using propaganda, disinformation, and conflicting claims.
• Key Themes:
  • Russian sources emphasize Ukrainian losses, Russian successes, and alleged Ukrainian atrocities.
  • Ukrainian sources highlight Russian losses, Ukrainian resilience, and Western support.
• Critical Assessment: Careful analysis and independent verification are essential.

---

VII. Internal Issues

• Ukraine: Reports of forceful mobilization, potential tensions within the military, and concerns about the handling of the war effort.
• Russia: Reports of corruption, low morale, and potential dissent among military personnel. Arrests for anti-war activities continue.

---

VIII. Critical Information Gaps

• Confirmation of Russian Advances (Multiple Fronts): The full extent of reported Russian advances, particularly in the Pokrovsk and Kupyansk directions, and near Yampolivka, requires urgent and continuous verification.
• Details of US-Ukraine Discussions: The specific outcomes, agreements, and disagreements surrounding the Zelensky-Vance meeting and other high-level talks remain largely unknown.
• Motive and Target of Mykolaiv Bombing: The precise circumstances and motivations behind the reported suicide bombing require thorough investigation.
• Extent of Damage from Volgograd and Kaluga Strikes: The full impact of the drone strikes on Russian infrastructure needs assessment.
• Confirmation of Reported Atrocities: All claims of atrocities, on both sides, need independent verification.

---

IX. Recommendations (Prioritized)

1. EXTREME PRIORITY: Address Unprecedented Combat Intensity (Nationwide):

   • Immediately assess the implications of the 176 reported combat clashes and the numerous ongoing battles across multiple fronts.
   • Prioritize intelligence gathering and situational awareness in the Kupyansk and Pokrovsk directions, where the fighting is most intense.
   • Reinforce Ukrainian defenses where necessary and prepare for potential counteroffensives.
   • Ensure effective coordination between different units and branches of the armed forces.
   • Address any logistical challenges and ensure adequate supplies of ammunition, equipment, and personnel.

2. EXTREME PRIORITY: Counter Fiber-Optic Drone Threat (Immediate Action):

   • Urgently investigate the reported use of fiber-optic guided drones by Russian forces.
   • Gather technical intelligence on these drones: capabilities, range, payload, weaknesses.
   • Develop and deploy countermeasures. While jamming is ineffective, consider:
     • Physical Interception: Using nets, small arms fire, or other drones.
     • Targeting Launch Sites: Identifying and neutralizing drone operators and launch sites.
     • Camouflage and Concealment: Reducing the visibility of potential targets.
   • Share intelligence on this new threat with frontline units and international partners.

3. EXTREME PRIORITY: Investigate and Respond to Mykolaiv Bombing (Immediate Action):

   • Secure the area in Mykolaiv.
   • Gather evidence and interview witnesses.
   • Determine the identity of the perpetrator and any potential affiliations (e.g., FSB recruitment).
   • Assess security protocols and implement necessary changes to prevent similar incidents.
   • Address public concerns and provide support to the victims and their families.

4. EXTREME PRIORITY: Maintain Maximum Air Defense Readiness (Nationwide):

   • Prioritize air defense systems in all regions, especially those facing potential ballistic missile attacks and areas with confirmed guided aerial bomb launches (Sumy, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia).
   • Ensure rapid response protocols are in place for all air defense units.
   • Continuously monitor for launches of ballistic missiles, guided aerial bombs, and drones.

5. EXTREME PRIORITY: Verify and Respond to Claimed Russian Advances (Multiple Fronts):

   • Deploy all available intelligence assets to CONFIRM OR REFUTE the reported Russian advances, particularly:
     • Oskil River bridgehead (Kupyansk direction)
     • West of Kurakhove (Pokrovsk direction)
     • Lyman direction (Yampolivka and Terny)
     • Berezovka (Donetsk Oblast)
     • Zelenivka and Ulakly area
   • Assess the impact on Ukrainian defensive positions and supply lines if the claims are confirmed.
   • Prepare for potential counteroffensives or defensive adjustments.

6. HIGH PRIORITY: Monitor and Address US-Ukraine Relations:

   • Assess the impact of Zelensky's refusal to sign the mineral deal on US aid and future negotiations.
   • Gather intelligence on any potential shifts in US policy or rhetoric towards Ukraine.
   • Prepare contingency plans for potential reductions or changes in US support.
   • Engage in diplomatic efforts to clarify Ukraine's position and emphasize the need for security guarantees.
   • Closely track Kellogg's statements and activities.

7. HIGH PRIORITY: Continue Diplomatic Engagement with Europe:

   • Capitalize on growing concerns within Europe about reliance on the US and the need for greater European strategic autonomy.
   • Push for increased European military and financial support for Ukraine.
   • Explore the potential for European troop deployments post-conflict.
   • Work with Germany on the "Unity Hub" initiative and other forms of support.

8. HIGH PRIORITY: Counter Russian Information Warfare:

   • Continue to actively counter Russian disinformation and propaganda, particularly claims of Ukrainian atrocities and inflated casualty figures.
   • Highlight Russian war crimes and violations of international law.
   • Promote accurate information through reliable media channels and international platforms.
   • Address the internal challenges.

9. HIGH PRIORITY: Investigate and Address Internal Challenges:

   • Address concerns about forceful mobilization practices, troop morale, and potential corruption.
   • Monitor internal security threats and take steps to prevent sabotage and infiltration.

10. CONTINUE MONITORING CHERNOBYL SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS):

    • All previous recommendations remain in effect.

11. ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT: Previous recommendations not addressed above remain in effect.

---

The situation in Ukraine is EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND RAPIDLY EVOLVING. The INTENSE FIGHTING ACROSS MULTIPLE FRONTS, the ESCALATING DRONE WARFARE (including the potential new threat of fiber-optic guided drones), the CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES, the CHERNOBYL INCIDENT, the POTENTIAL SUICIDE BOMBING, and the UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING WESTERN SUPPORT all demand IMMEDIATE AND FOCUSED ATTENTION. VERIFICATION OF CLAIMS, INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, RAPID RESPONSE CAPABILITIES, AND STRONG DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS are crucial. The POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER ESCALATION remains EXTREMELY HIGH.

Daily Report from 2025-02-16 15:46:18:

Daily Intelligence Briefing: Ukraine - February 15, 2025 (Afternoon/Evening)

Prepared for: Ukrainian High Command Prepared by: AI Military Intelligence Assistant Date: February 16, 2025 (00:01 UTC)

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I. Executive Summary

February 15, 2025 (afternoon/evening, through 23:59 UTC), saw a continuation of intense fighting, escalating drone warfare, and significant developments regarding Western support. The overall strategic picture remains highly challenging for Ukrainian forces.

Key Developments and Assessments:

• Extremely High-Intensity Combat (Confirmed, Multiple Fronts): Fighting continues unabated across multiple fronts, with the Pokrovsk and Kupyansk directions remaining the focal points of the most intense clashes. The Ukrainian General Staff reported a total of 176 combat clashes as of 14:00 UTC, indicating a very high level of military activity.
• Confirmed and Claimed Russian Advances (High Priority):
  • Berezovka (Donetsk Oblast): Confirmed capture by Russian forces.
  • Oskil River (Kupyansk Direction): Russian forces are confirmed to be consolidating positions on the right bank and expanding their bridgehead.
  • Yampolivka (Lyman Direction): Russian forces claim near-total control; urgent verification needed.
  • West of Kurakhove (Pokrovsk Direction): Intense fighting and claimed Russian advances, including near Ulakly and Uspenivka. Verification crucial.
  • West of Avdiivka (Pokrovsk Direction): Russian forces are confirmed to be advancing.
• Escalating Drone Warfare (Extreme Priority):
  • Fiber-Optic Guided Drones: Reports of Russian use of fiber-optic guided drones are a major concern, requiring urgent investigation and countermeasures. These drones are reportedly highly accurate and resistant to jamming.
  • Widespread Attacks: Both sides continue to employ drones extensively, with confirmed strikes targeting infrastructure, military equipment, and personnel.
  • Ukrainian Countermeasures: Ukrainian forces claim successes in downing Russian drones and using electronic warfare to neutralize guided bombs.
• Air and Missile Threats (High Priority):
  • Confirmed Russian use of guided aerial bombs (KABs), particularly in Sumy Oblast.
  • Ballistic missile threats were reported, requiring air defense activation.
• Geopolitical Developments:
  • US Aid and Security Guarantees: Discussions continue, with US Special Representative Kellogg emphasizing a fast timeline for decisions. However, Zelensky's refusal to sign a mineral deal without security guarantees highlights potential tensions. Trump's ultimate decision-making power is emphasized.
  • European Support: Growing calls for increased European military and financial support for Ukraine, including discussions of potential troop deployments post-conflict.
  • Hungary: Hungary continues to block Ukraine's membership and negotiations with the EU.
  • NATO: NATO Secretary General urges EU to increase defense spending.
• **Internal Security Threats