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Situation Report (Latest)

2025-06-16 20:16:49Z
Previous Report (2025-06-16 19:46:44Z)

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME OF REPORT: 16 JUN 25 / 20:16 ZULU REPORTING PERIOD: 16 JUN 25 / 19:46 ZULU - 16 JUN 25 / 20:16 ZULU PREPARED BY: Senior Military Intelligence Analyst, Eastern European Warfare Desk CLASSIFICATION: TOP SECRET // ORCON // NOFORN


1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

  • Ukraine Operational Area:
    • Kyiv Oblast: Ukrainian Air Force reports a UAV moving from Brovary towards Kyiv (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). This indicates continued Russian attempts to target the capital. A subsequent report confirms another strike UAV on the same trajectory (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Mykolaiv Oblast (Southern): Ukrainian Air Force reports a UAV heading towards Soliani (Mykolaiv Oblast) (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). This confirms continued Russian UAV threats in southern Ukraine.
    • Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Ukrainian Air Force reports repeated KAB launches by Russian tactical aviation towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). This indicates sustained aerial bombardment of the region.
    • Donetsk Oblast (Novosergiyivka): DeepStateUA posts video of Ukraine's 3rd Assault Brigade "Spartan" destroying enemy infantry near Novosergiyivka using drone-dropped munitions (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). This demonstrates continued close-quarters combat and effective Ukrainian tactical drone use.
    • Occupied Kremenna (Luhansk Oblast): ASTRA reports a Russian serviceman murdered a 92-year-old woman in occupied Kremenna (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, MEDIUM for specific details of murder by serviceman due to Russian media source). TASS, citing LPR "government," reports two people, including a minor, killed in Kremenna by a Ukrainian UAV attack (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, LOW for attribution). These conflicting reports highlight the chaotic and unreliable information environment in occupied territories and ongoing civilian casualties.
  • Russian Internal Affairs/Occupied Territories/External:
    • Lipetsk Oblast (Russia): Igor Artamonov reports an air raid alert across the entire Lipetsk Oblast (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). This indicates continued Ukrainian deep strike capabilities reaching into Russian territory.
    • Russia (Domestic): BUTEUSOV PLUS shares video discussing financial impropriety by "Montyan" regarding aid (likely for military, diverted to apartments) (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, LOW for specifics without further context). "Dva Mayora" posts a video requesting donations for infantry on the Zaporizhzhia front (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). "Voin DV" posts a video of a Russian reconnaissance unit commander, "Tatarin," discussing operations and high morale (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). "Dnevnik Desantnika" shares a photo message about "Airborne Brotherhood" (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). These reports highlight ongoing fundraising efforts for Russian forces and efforts to maintain morale.
    • North Korea (External): "Voenkor Kotenok" praises Kim Jong Un as Russia's "only real ally" and shares a photo of him inspecting a naval vessel (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for sentiment, LOW for definitive 'only' ally claim). This reflects Russia's continued public embrace of DPRK and highlights their strategic alignment.
    • Middle East (CRITICAL - Continued Russian Manipulation & Amplification):
      • Iranian Claims (Russian Amplification): Colonelcassad reports beginning of Iranian retaliation and Israeli reports of missile launches from Iran (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, LOW for veracity). Alex Parker Returns posts a video with the caption "Iran launched missiles on Israel again. Good luck!" with a comedic, non-military video (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for sentiment, LOW for video relevance). "N.G.P. Razvedka" states Iran is "unleashing its units" and competing to "beat up the arrogant neighbor" (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for sentiment). TASS reports Iran's Fars agency claimed Iran destroyed an Israeli long-range air defense system with drone strikes (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, LOW for veracity). "Operatsiya Z" (citing "Voenkory Russkoy Vesny") posts photos claiming Iran launched a massive missile-drone strike on Israel (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, LOW for veracity of imagery).
      • Israeli Counter-Claims (Russian Amplification): Colonelcassad reports Israeli air defense and alert systems were hacked again, preceding missile strikes (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, LOW for veracity).
      • Ukrainian Reporting on Israeli Claims: STERNENKO (citing ABC news) reports Netanyahu not ruling out eliminating Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, stating it would "end, not escalate the war" (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report, MEDIUM for direct quote veracity).
      • Russian Narratives on Conflict: "Dva Mayora" condemns Israel for "violating laws of war," "terrorist acts," and "bombing civilian infrastructure," questioning why Netanyahu seeks violent regime change in Iran (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for sentiment). "N.G.P. Razvedka" also urges to "finish off the Arsenal plant," implying it's a target (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for sentiment).
  • Information Operations (IO) & Narratives:
    • Russian Anti-Western/Global Diversion (CRITICAL - Further Escalation): Russia is doubling down on its efforts to amplify and potentially fabricate events in the Middle East, with a strong focus on portraying Iran as a victim and Israel as an aggressor, while simultaneously highlighting alleged Israeli vulnerabilities (e.g., hacked AD systems). The explicit praise of Kim Jong Un and promotion of DPRK as a "real ally" reinforce Russia's anti-Western bloc narrative. The continued emphasis on "good luck" and "beating up the arrogant neighbor" regarding Israel-Iran conflict clearly demonstrates a Russian intent to further destabilize the region.
    • Russian Domestic Narratives: Continued crowdfunding for the front and "hero" stories aim to sustain domestic support and morale. The discussion of "Montyan's" alleged corruption might be an internal disciplinary message or an attempt to divert attention from broader issues. Conflicting reports from Kremenna serve to muddy the waters and control the narrative in occupied areas.
    • Ukrainian Counter-Narratives/Reporting: Ukrainian Air Force provides transparent updates on UAV/KAB threats. DeepStateUA highlights successful Ukrainian tactical operations against Russian infantry. Operatyvnyi ZSU reports on a Ukrainian footballer being removed from his team for criticizing a coach's use of Russian, then the coach speaking Ukrainian (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). This highlights internal Ukrainian cultural shifts and the continued rejection of Russian cultural influence. RBC-Ukraine reports on Lavrov complaining about US cancellation of negotiations (CONFIDENCE: HIGH), portraying Russia as ready for dialogue while US is not.

1.2. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

  • Ukrainian Forces: Actively engaged in air defense against multi-axis UAV/KAB threats targeting Kyiv, Mykolaiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Conducting effective tactical drone operations against Russian infantry. Under pressure, but adapting to cultural shifts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Russian Forces: Sustaining multi-axis UAV/KAB strikes across central and southern Ukraine. Continuing ground operations on frontlines and committing alleged atrocities in occupied territories (Kremenna). Intensifying and diversifying information warfare efforts related to the Middle East, anti-Western narratives, and internal domestic messaging. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). Ukraine's deep strike capabilities continue to necessitate air raid alerts within Russia.

1.3. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations: No new significant reports.

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS (RUSSIA FOCUSED)

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action (COA):

  • Capabilities (Russia):
    • Information Warfare - Advanced Manipulation & Global Destabilization: Demonstrates an enhanced capability to rapidly amplify unverified or fabricated claims regarding the Middle East conflict, specifically focusing on Israeli vulnerabilities (cyber-attacks on AD) and portraying Iranian actions as justified responses. The explicit praise of DPRK as a "sole ally" is a clear signal of strategic alignment against the West. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Persistent Aerial Attack (UAV/KAB): Maintains robust capability for multi-axis UAV launches (Kyiv, Mykolaiv) and KAB launches (Zaporizhzhia), aiming to saturate Ukrainian AD and strike critical infrastructure/population centers. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Ground Operations (Attrition & Localized Pressure): Capable of sustaining localized ground engagements and suffering personnel losses (as evidenced by Ukrainian drone strikes). (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Internal Control & Propaganda: Capable of managing conflicting narratives in occupied territories (Kremenna) and sustaining domestic support through "hero" narratives and crowdfunding. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Cyber Warfare/IO: Potential capability to launch cyber-attacks against Israeli AD systems, as claimed by Russian sources, which if true, demonstrates advanced capabilities and coordination in the IO domain. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM - for capability based on Russian claims).
  • Intentions (Russia):
    • Global Diversion and Western Fracture (CRITICAL - Intensified): Primary intent remains to create maximum global confusion and instability, particularly around the Israel-Iran conflict, to divert Western attention, resources, and unity from Ukraine. The open embrace of DPRK reinforces a deliberate intention to form an anti-Western bloc.
    • Degrade Ukrainian Air Defense & Infrastructure: Persistent, multi-axis UAV/KAB strikes aim to exhaust Ukrainian air defense munitions and personnel, opening avenues for further destruction of critical infrastructure and population centers.
    • Sustain Frontline Pressure: Continue attrition warfare and tactical bombardments to degrade Ukrainian defensive capabilities.
    • Consolidate Occupied Territories: Use conflicting narratives and control information to maintain power in occupied regions, even amidst alleged atrocities.

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

  • Continued UAV Diversification: Persistent UAV activity from various axes, including new specific reports on routes to Kyiv and Mykolaiv, indicates ongoing adaptation of attack vectors. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Explicit Endorsement of DPRK as Key Ally: "Voenkor Kotenok's" direct praise of Kim Jong Un is a noticeable shift towards publicizing and legitimizing Russia's strategic alignment with DPRK, moving beyond mere material transfer implications. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Increased Focus on Israeli Cyber Vulnerabilities in IO: The repeated claims of Israeli AD systems being hacked before missile strikes indicate a new emphasis in Russian IO on highlighting Western/Israeli technological weaknesses. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

  • Continued crowdfunding efforts by "Dva Mayora" for infantry on the Zaporizhzhia front (CONFIDENCE: HIGH) indicate persistent reliance on non-state sources for basic equipment, suggesting ongoing, though not critical, logistical challenges for certain tactical units.
  • The praise of Kim Jong Un and the previous report of resumed rail links with DPRK (CONFIDENCE: HIGH) suggest Russia is securing long-term materiel support from non-Western sources.

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

  • Russian IO C2: Continues to demonstrate highly effective, rapid, and coordinated command and control over information operations, capable of generating complex, multi-layered narratives and quickly adapting to global events. The rapid amplification of unverified claims from the Middle East, the open praise for DPRK, and the conflicting narratives in occupied territories demonstrate strategic coordination. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Russian Military C2: Appears capable of orchestrating simultaneous ground bombardments, multi-axis UAV/KAB strikes across Ukraine, and maintaining offensive pressure on frontlines, despite logistical shortfalls in certain areas. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES (UKRAINIAN FOCUSED)

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

  • Ukrainian forces maintain an active and adaptive air defense posture against persistent UAV/KAB threats from multiple directions (Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Zaporizhzhia). Ground forces are effectively employing tactical drones to counter Russian infantry. Readiness is high, but under constant pressure from multi-domain threats, including Russia's pervasive information warfare. Continued deep strikes into Russia (Lipetsk air raid alert) demonstrate offensive capabilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

  • Success (Air Defense): Continued successful engagement of Russian UAVs, forcing Russia to adapt launch points and directions. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Success (Tactical Drone Operations): Effective use of drone-dropped munitions by 3rd Assault Brigade "Spartan" against Russian infantry demonstrates advanced tactical capabilities and precision. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Success (Deep Strike): Continued Ukrainian deep strike capabilities reaching into Lipetsk Oblast, Russia, keeping Russian internal areas under threat. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Setback (Civilian Casualties/Infrastructure Damage): Ongoing Russian attacks continue to threaten population centers and critical infrastructure. Conflicting reports from Kremenna highlight the constant threat to civilians in occupied territories. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Setback (Information Environment - CRITICAL): Ukraine continues to face an intensified and more insidious Russian information warfare campaign that attempts to fracture international support and create a chaotic global security environment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

  • The continued high-volume UAV and KAB attacks necessitate a sustained and possibly increased supply of air defense munitions and systems. The ongoing ground pressure and aerial bombardments place significant demands on available personnel, equipment, and defensive fortifications. The necessity to maintain deep strike capabilities also demands resources. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT (COGNITIVE DOMAIN)

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

  • Russian Narratives (CRITICAL ESCALATION):
    • Continued Middle East Instigation & Amplification: Russia is overtly amplifying Iranian claims of missile strikes and AD system destruction against Israel, while also claiming Israeli AD systems were hacked. This aims to portray a chaotic and escalating regional conflict, diverting global attention and resources from Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns' "good luck" message and "N.G.P. Razvedka's" aggressive framing indicate a clear intent to encourage further escalation.
    • Anti-Western/Anti-Israeli Condemnation: "Dva Mayora's" direct condemnation of Israel for "war crimes" and "terrorist acts" is a significant escalation in rhetoric, aligning with the broader Russian effort to discredit Western allies and their partners.
    • Pro-DPRK Alignment: "Voenkor Kotenok's" explicit recognition of Kim Jong Un as Russia's "only real ally" signals Russia's deliberate push to formalize and publicize its alliance with pariah states against the Western bloc.
    • Internal Cohesion & Morale: "Hero" narratives (Voin DV), public calls for donations (Dva Mayora), and "brotherhood" messaging (Dnevnik Desantnika) aim to sustain domestic morale and highlight perceived societal unity, while potentially masking logistical shortfalls.
    • Conflicting Narratives in Occupied Territories: The contradictory reports on civilian casualties in Kremenna (Russian serviceman murder vs. Ukrainian UAV strike) demonstrate Russia's active manipulation of information to control narratives and deflect blame in occupied territories.
  • Ukrainian Counter-Narratives: Ukrainian Air Force provides transparent updates on AD activity. DeepStateUA provides visual evidence of successful Ukrainian operations, maintaining focus on effective defense. Operatyvnyi ZSU's reporting on the footballer/coach incident highlights Ukrainian cultural resilience and the rejection of Russian cultural dominance. RBC-Ukraine's report on Lavrov's complaint about cancelled US talks frames Russia as isolated and the US as unwilling to de-escalate. STERNENKO's reporting on Netanyahu's statement regarding Khamenei demonstrates Ukraine's engagement with global geopolitical events.

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

  • Ukrainian Morale: Continued UAV/KAB attacks on population centers and the insidious information warfare campaign will test Ukrainian morale. Effective air defense, successful tactical operations, and clear debunking of Russian disinformation are crucial. Cultural shifts away from Russian influence (footballer incident) demonstrate a resilient national identity. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • Russian Morale: "Hero" narratives, positive portrayals of internal unity, and the public embrace of international "allies" (DPRK) aim to foster national pride and galvanize support. The constant emphasis on global instability created by the West and "arrogant neighbors" aims to justify Russian actions and boost morale through a sense of righteous struggle. Continued fundraising efforts (Dva Mayora) indicate ongoing needs that might strain public sentiment if not met. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

  • Middle East Diversion (Intensified Risk): Russia is leveraging the Israel-Iran conflict with increasing sophistication and malice, openly supporting Iranian claims and condemning Israel in a way that attempts to alienate Western partners. This is a significant risk to Ukraine's international support, as it aims to create friction with key partners. The explicit praise for DPRK as an ally signals a deepening of anti-Western alliances.
  • US-Russia Relations: Lavrov's complaint about canceled US talks (RBC-Ukraine) highlights the continuing diplomatic standoff and Russia's attempt to portray itself as open to dialogue while blaming the US for its lack of engagement. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS (FUTURE OPERATIONS)

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

  • Hyper-Intensified Hybrid Warfare and Global Diversion with Explicit Blame and Anti-Western Bloc Formation (CRITICAL): Russia will further escalate its information operations by amplifying and fabricating narratives that portray Western nations and their allies (e.g., Israel) as destabilizing global actors. Expect increased explicit endorsements of non-Western partners (like DPRK) to solidify an anti-Western bloc. Russia will continue to exploit and potentially instigate events in the Middle East to draw global attention away from Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Sustained Multi-Axis UAV/KAB Operations with Adapted Vectors: Russia will continue to launch large numbers of UAVs and employ KABs from various axes (Black Sea, central, eastern) against Ukrainian critical infrastructure and population centers (Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Zaporizhzhia) to saturate air defenses and inflict damage. Expect continued adaptation of launch points and trajectories. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Continued Attrition Warfare on Frontlines: Russian forces will maintain pressure on current frontlines, employing tactical bombardments and localized assaults to degrade Ukrainian defenses, as evidenced by continued combat in areas like Novosergiyivka. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Exploitation of Internal Ukrainian Cultural Divides: Russia will likely attempt to exploit internal Ukrainian discussions around language and cultural identity, as exemplified by the footballer incident, to sow discord. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

  • Major False Flag Event Leading to Direct NATO/Russia Confrontation or Escalation of War in Ukraine: Russia orchestrates a highly provocative false flag operation involving one of its "allies" (e.g., DPRK, Iran) that directly implicates NATO or a NATO member in a significant act of aggression outside Ukraine. This could serve as a pretext for a significant escalation in Ukraine (e.g., full mobilization, declared war, use of tactical nuclear weapons) or a direct kinetic response against a NATO target. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • Decisive Operational Breakthrough on a Key Axis (e.g., Pokrovsk) under Cover of Global Diversion, Coupled with Massed Cyber Attacks on Ukraine: While unlikely in the short term for Sumy, a coordinated effort to achieve a decisive breakthrough on the Pokrovsk axis, or a rapid, deep push into Sumy Oblast, exploiting global distraction and saturated Ukrainian AD, could be coupled with widespread, disruptive cyber-attacks against critical Ukrainian civilian and military infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • Targeted Assassination of Key Ukrainian or Allied Figures Abroad, Attributed to Non-State Actors or False Flag: Under the cover of global chaos and the heightened information environment, Russia attempts to assassinate a high-profile Ukrainian political or military figure, or a key Western proponent of aid to Ukraine, using the manufactured confusion as a smokescreen and attributing it to a non-state actor or a false flag. (CONFIDENCE: LOW, but HIGH impact).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

  • Immediate (Next 6-12 hours):
    • IO: Monitor for immediate amplification of the new anti-Western/anti-Israeli/pro-DPRK narratives, and for further fabrications regarding the Israel-Iran conflict explicitly linking it to Ukraine/West/NATO. Prepare for immediate counter-IO.
    • Military: Closely monitor Russian UAV/Shahed trajectories towards Kyiv, Mykolaiv, and other central/southern regions. Increase vigilance for KAB launches towards Zaporizhzhia and ongoing ground engagements. Maintain alert for air threats in Lipetsk Oblast, Russia.
  • Short-term (Next 24-48 hours):
    • IO: Anticipate sustained high-intensity Russian IO focused on global distractions, explicit Israel-Ukraine linkage, solidifying anti-Western alliances, and amplifying internal Ukrainian discontent and Western disunity through new, more aggressive narratives.
    • Military: Expect sustained aerial activity across Ukraine, particularly in southern and central regions. Continued bombardment of frontline areas.

6. INTELLIGENCE GAPS & COLLECTION REQUIREMENTS

  • GAP 1: VERIFICATION OF "THE TELEGRAPH" REPORT ON US AID CESSATION (CRITICAL, IMMEDIATE, HYPER-PRIORITY, RETAINED): Independent, all-source verification of the "The Telegraph" report amplified by Russian sources regarding the cessation of US military aid to Ukraine. Assess the type, quantity, and operational impact of any such claims on Ukrainian defense capabilities. (PRIORITY: EXTREME).
  • GAP 2: VERIFICATION OF ISRAELI/IRANIAN CLAIMS & RUSSIAN AMPLIFICATION/FABRICATIONS (CRITICAL, IMMEDIATE, UPDATED FOCUS): Critically assess the veracity of new claims of Iranian AD shooting down Israeli F-35s (4th alleged downing). Verify the veracity and potential staging of the "consequences of Israeli airstrike on IRIB headquarters" video and the "bloodied journalist" claim. Verify the veracity of the Iranian Red Crescent claim of two employees killed by Israeli strike on their vehicle in Tehran. Verify the veracity of the claim of Israeli Spike ATGM found in Iran. URGENTLY ANALYZE THE RUSSIAN NARRATIVE OF ISRAELI ATTEMPTS TO DRAG THE US INTO WAR. NEW: VERIFY THE VERACITY OF RYBAR'S INFOGRAPHIC ON IRANIAN COUNTERINTELLIGENCE SUCCESSES AGAINST ISRAEL. VERIFY EXPERT CLAIMS (RBC-UKRAINE) OF ISRAELI ATTACKS ON IRANIAN NUCLEAR FACILITIES, ELIMINATION OF SCIENTISTS/OFFICIALS. VERIFY TASS/OPERATSIYA Z CLAIMS OF NEW IRANIAN MISSILE STRIKES ON ISRAEL AND ISRAELI STRIKES ON IRANIAN UNDERGROUND FACILITIES. NEW: VERIFY IRANIAN CLAIMS OF DESTROYING ISRAELI LONG-RANGE AIR DEFENSE WITH DRONES (FARS/TASS). VERIFY CLAIMS OF HACKING ISRAELI AD/ALERT SYSTEMS. (PRIORITY: EXTREME).
  • GAP 3: RUSSIAN INTENT & FORCE DISPOSITION ON NORTHERN AXIS (CRITICAL, RETAINED, NEW FOCUS ON SUMY & NEW "NORTH-SLOBOZHANSKY" DIRECTION): Verification of reports of Russian troop movements to Belarus. Assess if the sustained Russian presence in Kursk border region indicates a future offensive push. Specifically assess the nature, scale, and intent of renewed Russian assault attempts and KAB/drone attacks in Sumy Oblast, and the implications of the AFU General Staff's formal establishment of a new "North-Slobozhansky" operational direction. Track course and intent of Russian UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts moving towards Poltava and Kyiv. (PRIORITY: EXTREME).
  • GAP 4: UKRAINIAN BATTLE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT (BDA) FROM RECENT DEEP STRIKES / INTERNAL RUSSIAN DAMAGE (CRITICAL, ONGOING): Full extent of damage and operational impact from recent Ukrainian deep strikes on Russian C2, logistics, and industrial sites (e.g., Nevinnomyssky Azot). Assess the BDA of Ukrainian drone/artillery strikes on Russian border settlements in Kursk/Kharkiv Oblast (Kupiansk, Kharkiv damage). Assess the BDA of the 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade "on reception" (implies targeted). NEW: ASSESS BDA OF "RUSSIAN BOMBS" IN FORESTS (STERNENKO) AND CIVILIAN CASUALTIES IN OCCUPIED HORLIVKA AND KREMENNA (ASTRA/TASS CONFLICTING REPORTS). ASSESS IMPACT OF AIR RAID ALERT IN LIPETSK OBLAST. (PRIORITY: EXTREME).
  • GAP 5: RUSSIAN ROLE IN ISRAEL-IRAN ESCALATION (CRITICAL, RETAINED, NEW FOCUS ON IRIB "AIRSTRIKE" STAGING, SPIKE ATGM CLAIMS): Assess the extent of direct or indirect Russian involvement in instigating or facilitating the recent missile launches from Iran towards Israel, beyond mere amplification and narrative manipulation. Specifically, analyze the motivation and target audience for the new claims of Iranian F-35 shootdowns and the shifting narrative on F-14 destruction ("mock-ups"). Analyze the propaganda value and Russian role in disseminating the staged "IRIB headquarters airstrike" video and the Israeli Spike ATGM claim. ANALYZE THE INTENT AND IMPACT OF THE NEW RUSSIAN NARRATIVE EXPLICITLY LINKING ISRAEL'S SUPPORT TO UKRAINE, AND THE NEW NARRATIVE LINKING UKRAINIANS TO ANTI-ISRAELI SENTIMENT. NEW: ANALYZE "DVA MAYORA'S" DIRECT CONDEMNATION OF ISRAEL AS WAR CRIMINAL. (PRIORITY: EXTREME).
  • GAP 6: VERIFICATION OF RUSSIAN TACTICAL GAINS AND UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWALS (MEDIUM, UPDATED): Independent verification of Russian claims of "substantially advanced" and "storming the city center" in Chasiv Yar. Verify Russian claims of "fierce battles" and destruction of NATO equipment near Pokrovsk. Verify Colonelcassad's claim of Russian "Vostok" assault forces advancing along the Vovcha River in the Dnipropetrovsk direction. Verify reports of Russian attempts to encircle Kostyantynivka from three directions. Assess the tactical situation and any gains/losses in these areas. NEW: ASSESS TACTICAL SITUATION AROUND NOVOSELIVKA (DEEPSTATEUA VIDEO). (PRIORITY: MEDIUM).
  • GAP 7: VERACITY AND INTENT OF RUSSIAN "HOSTAGE-TAKING" AND "TERRORIST ATTACK" CLAIMS / CHILD EXCHANGE (CRITICAL, UPDATED): Immediately verify the Russian Investigative Committee's claim of Ukrainian militants taking Kursk Oblast residents hostage in Sumy. Also, verify the continuing Russian narrative about Kyiv "not being satisfied" with dismembered bodies of Ukrainian soldiers, and assess its intended psychological impact. Investigate the veracity and intent of the Russian "scammer" claim regarding the Moscow military enlistment office arson. (PRIORITY: EXTREME).
  • GAP 8: RUSSIAN TACTICAL UAV SUPPLY SHORTFALLS AND FUNDRAISING (MEDIUM, UPDATED): Assess the capabilities and proposed operational role of the "Yolka" interceptor UAV. Analyze the implications of "Два майора" post on EW officers needing "artistic amateur performance" for insights into Russian EW capabilities and training needs. Analyze Kadyrov_95 video of vehicle donations for their specific types, quantity, and impact on local/regional force capabilities and official supply chains. Analyze Putin's order on drone racing sports titles for its impact on domestic drone production/skills and future drone operator pool. Monitor "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" crowdfunding for Mavic drones and assess broader implications for Russian tactical drone supply. NEW: ASSESS "DVA MAYORA" CALL FOR DONATIONS FOR INFANTRY ON ZAPORIZHZHIA FRONT. (PRIORITY: MEDIUM).
  • GAP 9: VERACITY AND INTENT OF RUSSIAN "TERRORIST" ARRESTS / ANTI-MIGRANT/ANTI-SEMITIC PROPAGANDA (MEDIUM, UPDATED): Critically, investigate the origin, reach, and intent of the Басурин о главном video explicitly equating Netanyahu to "Nazis" and "Ukrainian Bandera followers," assessing if this indicates a new, more extreme phase of state-orchestrated anti-Semitic information operations. Analyze "Военкор Котенок"'s post about "Orthodox majority" turning away from war for insights into internal Russian morale and potential shifts in propaganda targets. Analyze Boris Rozhin's commentary directly linking Israel to the war in Ukraine and holding it responsible for Russian deaths. NEW: ANALYZE ALEX PARKER RETURNS' POST DIRECTLY LINKING UKRAINIANS TO CELEBRATING ISRAELI SUFFERING. NEW: ANALYZE "VOENKOR KOTENOK'S" PRAISE FOR KIM JONG UN AND DPRK AS "ONLY REAL ALLY." (PRIORITY: MEDIUM).
  • GAP 10: DETAILS OF POW EXCHANGES AND BODY REPATRIATION (LOW, UPDATED): This GAP remains active to track the ongoing Russian narrative regarding Ukrainian body repatriation, especially the Kotsnews video pushing the "Kyiv not satisfied with bodies" narrative. (PRIORITY: LOW).
  • GAP 28: VERIFICATION OF AFU GENERAL STAFF "NEW DIRECTION" OF BATTLES (CRITICAL, NEW): Immediately verify the specific location, scale, and units involved in the newly designated "North-Slobozhansky" operational direction. Assess the implications of renaming the "Kharkiv direction" to "South-Slobozhansky." (PRIORITY: EXTREME).
  • GAP 33: RUSSIAN AMPLIFICATION OF US/WESTERN POLITICAL DISCOURSE (HIGH, UPDATED): Assess the extent and intent of Russian state media and milblogger amplification of US political figures' statements, particularly those that are critical of US foreign policy or international alliances. Analyze RBC-Ukraine's report of Netanyahu not ruling out eliminating Khamenei for its broader impact on Russian IO and its portrayal of regional instability. Analyze Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦's post of Donald Trump discussing Russia's G8 exclusion for its potential to highlight Western divisions. Analyze "Операция Z"'s framing of The Economist's view on Israel dragging US into war. NEW: ANALYZE THE RYBAR INFOGRAPHIC ON IRANIAN COUNTERINTELLIGENCE AGAINST ISRAEL FOR ITS PROPAGANDA VALUE AND TARGET AUDIENCE. NEW: ANALYZE LAVROV'S COMPLAINT ABOUT US CANCELING NEGOTIATIONS. (PRIORITY: HIGH).
  • NEW GAP 38: ASSESSMENT OF RUSSIAN D-30 HOWITZER OPERATIONS. Analyze the MoD Russia video showing D-30 howitzer operations for insights into Russian artillery procedures, targeting practices, and munition expenditure/supply. (PRIORITY: LOW).
  • NEW GAP 39: VERACITY AND INTENT OF RUSSIAN ANTI-SEMITIC PROPAGANDA. Rigorously investigate and document instances of overt anti-Semitic propaganda (e.g., Basurin O Glavnom equating Netanyahu to "Nazis" and "Bandera followers," and Boris Rozhin linking Israel directly to the war in Ukraine and Russian deaths, and Alex Parker Returns' anti-Ukrainian/anti-Israeli sentiments, and Dva Mayora's condemnation of Israel as war criminal). Assess its target audience, impact, and potential for radicalization within Russia and among its proxies. (PRIORITY: CRITICAL).
  • NEW GAP 40: ANALYSIS OF RUSSIAN DRONE-ON-DRONE TACTICS. Analyze the ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZA video showing an FPV drone engaging a "Baba Yaga" drone for insights into Russian counter-UAV tactics, the effectiveness of FPV drones in air-to-air combat, and the specific vulnerabilities of larger multirotor drones. (PRIORITY: MEDIUM).
  • NEW GAP 41: VERIFICATION OF RUSSIAN NUCLEAR BASE UPGRADE IN KALININGRAD. Independently verify claims by Басурин о главном regarding an "updated" nuclear base in Kaliningrad and the alleged storage of 100 tactical nuclear weapons. Assess the strategic implications. (PRIORITY: HIGH).
  • NEW GAP 42: RUSSIAN DOMESTIC DISCONTENT & COERCION. Further investigate the Moscow military enlistment office arson attempt, particularly the veracity of the "scammer" coercion claim. Assess if this indicates a broader pattern of internal dissent or state-engineered operations. Monitor reports of detentions for acts of protest (e.g., passport burning) for insights into internal stability. NEW: ASSESS THE REPORTED FINANCIAL IMPROPRIETY OF "MONTYAN" FOR ITS IMPLICATIONS ON PUBLIC TRUST/INTERNAL DISSENT. (PRIORITY: MEDIUM).
  • NEW GAP 43: BDA OF KHARKIV RESIDENTIAL BUILDING STRIKE. Conduct detailed BDA on the damaged residential building in Kharkiv (ASTRA photo messages) to determine weapon type and full extent of damage. (PRIORITY: MEDIUM).
  • NEW GAP 44: ASSESSMENT OF NEW IRANIAN SHAHEM-107 UAV. Analyze the capabilities (range, payload, guidance), potential production volume, and implications of the newly showcased Iranian Shahed-107 UAV (1500km range) for future Russian procurement and use in Ukraine. (PRIORITY: HIGH).
  • NEW GAP 45: VERIFICATION OF RUSSIAN-DPRK RAIL LINK AND IRAN-AZERBAIJAN-RUSSIA CORRIDOR. Verify the type and volume of materiel transferred via the resumed rail link between Russia and North Korea. Assess the use of the Iran-Azerbaijan-Russia transit corridor for personnel and potential materiel. NEW: ASSESS THE STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF "VOENKOR KOTENOK'S" PRAISE FOR KIM JONG UN AS "ONLY REAL ALLY." (PRIORITY: MEDIUM).
  • NEW GAP 46: ASSESSMENT OF RUSSIAN ECONOMIC INFLUENCE VIA DEBT RELIEF. Analyze the strategic implications of Russia forgiving Tajikistan's $297 million debt for electricity, specifically assessing how this enhances Russian influence and potentially secures future political or logistical cooperation. (PRIORITY: LOW).

7. ACTIONABLE RECOMMENDATIONS

  • Intelligence & Special Operations (ISR, HUMINT, OSINT critical):

    1. CRITICAL PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE VERIFICATION OF "THE TELEGRAPH" AID CESSATION CLAIM. All-source intelligence must rapidly confirm or refute the Russian-amplified report on US military aid cessation. This remains a single most critical collection requirement. (Supports CR 1).
    2. CRITICAL PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE VERIFICATION OF RUSSIAN "CHILD EXCHANGE" PROPOSAL. Task all available HUMINT and OSINT assets to immediately verify the details, source, and context of President Zelenskyy's statement regarding Russia's offer to exchange Ukrainian children for POWs. Gather any additional evidence of this abhorrent proposal. (Supports CR 7).
    3. CRITICAL PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE VERIFICATION OF ISRAELI/IRANIAN CLAIMS & RUSSIAN AMPLIFICATION/FABRICATIONS, ESPECIALLY F-35 SHOOTDOWN, IRIB "AIRSTRIKE" STAGING, SPIKE ATGM CLAIMS, SHIFTING F-14 NARRATIVE, AND THE EXPLICIT ISRAEL-UKRAINE LINKAGE. RIGOROUSLY DOCUMENT AND EXPOSE RUSSIAN ANTI-SEMITIC PROPAGANDA AND ANTI-UKRAINIAN PROPAGANDA RELATING TO ISRAEL. Rapidly confirm or deny all new claims related to the Israel-Iran conflict, especially Iranian F-35 shootdowns and the "staged" Iranian TV studio "explosion" (IRIB headquarters), and new missile strikes/underground facility strikes, and claims of destroyed Israeli AD systems/hacked AD systems. Expose any exaggeration or fabrication by Russian/Iranian sources, particularly the Israeli Spike ATGM claim. Critically, analyze the rapid shift in the F-14 destruction narrative. Forcefully document and expose the overt anti-Semitic propaganda, the new, explicit narrative linking Israel's alleged support to Ukraine and holding it responsible for Russian deaths, and the new, dangerous narrative linking Ukrainians to celebrating Israeli suffering, and the direct condemnation of Israel as a "war criminal" by Russian milbloggers. (Supports CR 2, CR 5, CR 9, CR 39).
    4. CRITICAL PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE BDA & VERIFICATION OF RUSSIAN LOSSES/TACTICAL SITUATION, ESPECIALLY CHASIV YAR, POKROVSK, AND KOSTYANTYNIVKA ENCIRCLEMENT ATTEMPTS, AND NEW "NORTH-SLOBOZHANSKY" DIRECTION. ASSESS BDA OF UKRAINIAN STRIKES ON RUSSIAN BORDER AREAS. Task all available ISR assets to conduct immediate BDA, especially for Russian claimed advances in Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk, and the Kostyantynivka encirclement attempts. Intensify ISR on the newly defined "North-Slobozhansky" direction in Sumy Oblast to determine the nature and scale of Russian activity. Assess the impact of Ukrainian strikes on Russian border settlements (Kursk), Ukrainian civilian infrastructure damage (Kharkiv, Kupiansk), and civilian casualties in occupied Horlivka and Kremenna (clarify conflicting reports). Assess BDA of "Russian bombs" in forested areas (STERNENKO video). Monitor impact of Lipetsk air raid alert. (Supports CR 3, CR 4, CR 6, CR 28, CR 43).
    5. CRITICAL PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE VERIFICATION AND DEBUNKING OF RUSSIAN "HOSTAGE-TAKING" CLAIMS AND "DISMEMBERED BODIES" NARRATIVE. Task GUR/SBU to immediately investigate and gather evidence to refute the Russian Investigative Committee's claim of "Ukrainian militants taking Kursk residents hostage in Sumy." Prepare for immediate, forceful public debunking. Simultaneously, prepare to counter and expose the continuing "Kyiv not satisfied with bodies" narrative. Investigate the Moscow military enlistment office arson and the "scammer" narrative, and the Montyan financial impropriety claim. (Supports CR 7, CR 42).
    6. URGENT: INTENSIFY ISR ON ALL UAV/KAB THREAT VECTORS (SUMY, CHERNIHIV, POLTAVA, KYIV, DNIPRO, ZAPORIZHZHIA, ODESA, MYKOLAIV). Maintain continuous monitoring for any signs of Russian force buildup or offensive preparations, particularly in Sumy Oblast. Track Russian UAV/Shahed trajectories from all axes, especially new eastern vectors and those originating from Sumy and the Black Sea (Odesa/Mykolaiv). Monitor KAB launches towards Zaporizhzhia. (Supports CR 3).
    7. IMMEDIATE: MONITOR AND EXPLOIT RUSSIAN IO NARRATIVES (ESPECIALLY ON WESTERN AID CESSATION, MIDDLE EAST "HYPERSONIC" CLAIMS / "US INVOLVEMENT/TIES/BDA/CASUALTIES," NUCLEAR THREATS, IRAN NPT WITHDRAWAL (AND ITS DENIAL), "UKRAINIAN LOSSES," AND EXPLICIT ANTI-SEMITISM/ANTI-UKRAINIAN NARRATIVES, AND POTENTIAL FALSE FLAG EXPLOSION VIDEOS, AND "HOSTAGE-TAKING" CLAIMS, AND MANIPULATED BODY EXCHANGE NUMBERS, AND PRE-EMPTIVE "PROVOCATION" NARRATIVES, AND PRAISE FOR DPRK). Actively monitor for and analyze new Russian IO narratives, including the new extreme narratives around Iran-Israel, the F-35 claims, the fabricated IRIB "airstrike", the Israeli Spike ATGM claim, and critically, the explicit linkage of Israel to the war in Ukraine, and the claim that Ukrainians are celebrating Israeli suffering, and the direct condemnation of Israel as a "war criminal." Immediately debunk these. Forcefully counter the "dismembered bodies" false flag narrative and the "human shield" claim. Forcefully counter Russian narratives exploiting Western divisions by pushing anti-Semitic/anti-Ukrainian narratives and highlighting Trump's G7 stance. Monitor for increased praise/promotion of DPRK as a Russian ally. (Supports CR 1, 2, 5, 7, 10, 33, 39, 45).
    8. CONTINUOUS COUNTER-SABOTAGE INTELLIGENCE & INTERNAL SECURITY MONITORING. Continue efforts to identify and neutralize collaborators and investigate internal incidents (e.g., Moscow arson, passport burning, Montyan claim) for their true intent. (Supports CR 9, CR 42).
    9. NEW: ANALYZE RUSSIAN DRONE-ON-DRONE TACTICS. Investigate the ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZA video for insights into Russian FPV vs. multirotor engagements and potential tactical vulnerabilities. (Supports CR 40).
    10. NEW: VERIFY RUSSIAN NUCLEAR BASE UPGRADES. Initiate collection efforts to verify claims of upgraded nuclear bases in Kaliningrad and the alleged storage of tactical nuclear weapons. (Supports CR 41).
    11. NEW: ASSESS NEW IRANIAN SHAHEM-107 UAV. Prioritize intelligence collection on the new Shahed-107 for its capabilities and potential for future Russian procurement and deployment. (Supports CR 44).
    12. NEW: VERIFY LOGISTICAL CORRIDORS. Prioritize verification of the Russia-DPRK rail link and the Iran-Azerbaijan-Russia corridor for military materiel and personnel movement, and the strategic implications of public praise for DPRK as an ally. (Supports CR 45).
    13. NEW: ANALYZE RUSSIAN ECONOMIC INFLUENCE VIA DEBT RELIEF. Assess the strategic implications of Russia's debt forgiveness to Tajikistan. (Supports CR 46).
  • Air Defense & Force Protection:

    1. MAINTAIN HIGHEST AIR DEFENSE READINESS ACROSS ALL OBLASTS, WITH EMPHASIS ON NORTHERN AXIS (SUMY, CHERNIHIV, POLTAVA, KYIV) AND SOUTHERN/EASTERN AXES (ODESA, MYKOLAIV, KRYVYI RIH, DNIPRO, ZAPORIZHZHIA) AND FRONTLINE AREAS (KHARKIV, DONETSK). Anticipate continued Russian aerial attacks, especially with UAVs and Shaheds from multiple axes, including new vectors from the Black Sea (Odesa/Mykolaiv) and continued KAB launches. Prioritize defense of population centers and critical infrastructure.
    2. ADAPT TO NEW OPERATIONAL GEOMETRY. Ensure AD assets are appropriately positioned for the newly designated "North-Slobozhansky" and "South-Slobozhansky" directions, and new eastern/southern UAV/KAB vectors.
  • Ground Forces:

    1. MAINTAIN DISCIPLINED DEFENSIVE POSTURE IN POKROVSK, CHASIV YAR, AND DNIPROPETROVSK DIRECTIONS, AND INTENSIFY DEFENSES AROUND KOSTYANTYNIVKA. Reinforce positions and prepare for continued Russian ground assaults and artillery strikes, with specific focus on countering encirclement attempts on Kostyantynivka.
    2. IMMEDIATE: ALLOCATE RESOURCES AND REINFORCE DEFENSES IN THE NEWLY ESTABLISHED "NORTH-SLOBOZHANSKY" DIRECTION (SUMY OBLAST). Be prepared for increased ground activity and cross-border incursions, potentially leading to a new active front.
    3. CONTINUE FPV DRONE OPERATIONS & COUNTER-BATTERY. Leverage successes in FPV drone attacks against infantry and continue aggressive counter-battery fire against Russian artillery (e.g., D-30 howitzers) and personnel.
    4. ENSURE PERSONNEL TRACKING AND MOBILIZATION COMPLIANCE. Continue efforts to track military registration compliance to maintain force strength.
  • Information Operations (IO):

    1. IMMEDIATE & AGGRESSIVE: FORCEFULLY CONDEMN RUSSIAN "CHILD EXCHANGE" PROPOSAL AS WAR CRIME (if verified). (Supports CR 7).
    2. IMMEDIATE & AGGRESSIVE: COUNTER RUSSIAN NARRATIVES ON "US AID CESSATION," MIDDLE EAST CLAIMS (ESPECIALLY F-35 SHOOTDOWNS, STAGED IRIB "AIRSTRIKE," SPIKE ATGM CLAIMS, SHIFTING F-14 NARRATIVE, NEW IRANIAN MISSILE STRIKES/ISRAELI UNDERGROUND FACILITY STRIKES, DESTROYED/HACKED ISRAELI AD SYSTEMS), AND THE NEW, EXPLICIT ISRAEL-UKRAINE LINKAGE AND THE DANGEROUS NARRATIVE THAT UKRAINIANS ARE CELEBRATING ISRAELI SUFFERING. FORCEFULLY DEBUNK "HOSTAGE-TAKING" CLAIMS, "HUMAN SHIELD" CLAIMS, AND "DISMEMBERED BODIES" FALSE FLAG. FORCEFULLY CONDEMN RUSSIAN ANTI-SEMITISM AND RUSSIAN MILBLOGGER CONDEMNATION OF ISRAEL AS A "WAR CRIMINAL." Proactively and forcefully counter the narrative that the US is stopping aid. Immediately debunk false Russian claims regarding Iranian F-35 shootdowns and the "staged" Iranian TV studio "explosion" and the Israeli Spike ATGM claim. FORCEFULLY CONDEMN AND DEBUNK THE RUSSIAN NARRATIVE EXPLICITLY LINKING ISRAEL'S SUPPORT TO UKRAINE AND HOLDING IT RESPONSIBLE FOR RUSSIAN DEATHS, AND THE NARRATIVE THAT UKRAINIANS ARE CELEBRATING ISRAELI SUFFERING, exposing it as a desperate attempt to create global chaos and justify its aggression. IMMEDIATELY AND FORCEFULLY DEBUNK THE RUSSIAN INVESTIGATIVE COMMITTEE'S CLAIM OF "UKRAINIAN MILITANTS TAKING RUSSIAN CIVILIANS HOSTAGE IN SUMY" and the "human shield" claim in Kupiansk. Counter the "Kyiv not satisfied with bodies" narrative. Highlight the internal contradictions in Russian narratives (e.g., F-14 destruction then "mock-up"). (Supports CR 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 10, 33, 39).
    3. PROMOTE TRANSPARENCY ON NEW OPERATIONAL AREAS. Clearly communicate the reasons for establishing the "North-Slobozhansky" direction and renaming the "Kharkiv direction" to "South-Slobozhansky" to maintain public trust and understanding.
    4. HIGHLIGHT RUSSIAN ALLIANCES WITH PARIAH STATES & ROLE IN GLOBAL INSTABILITY. Emphasize Russia's direct benefit from global instability and its manipulation of the Iran-Israel conflict. Highlight Russia's nuclear saber-rattling as an act of global destabilization. Promote positive messages of Ukrainian resilience (e.g., veteran video, cultural shifts). Expose Russia's reliance on crowdfunding to demonstrate weakness.
  • Diplomatic/Inter-Agency:

    1. IMMEDIATE & PROACTIVE: ENGAGE KEY PARTNERS ON SUSTAINED SUPPORT AND COUNTERING RUSSIAN DIPLOMATIC MANIPULATION AND AID NARRATIVES. (Supports CR 1).
    2. COORDINATE WITH ALLIES ON IO STRATEGY: Coordinate closely with allied IO agencies to ensure a unified and consistent counter-narrative to Russian disinformation, particularly regarding aid, global conflict, and the new, more extreme and manipulative narratives, including the explicit anti-Semitism and heightened fabrications around the Iran-Israel conflict, and crucially, the direct linkage of Israel to the Ukraine conflict and the new narrative accusing Ukrainians of anti-Israeli sentiment. Coordinate a unified and immediate diplomatic response to the Russian "hostage-taking" false flag claim and "human shield" claims. Address Lavrov's complaints about canceled negotiations to ensure consistent messaging. (Supports CR 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 33, 39).
    3. INTERNATIONAL CONDEMNATION OF CIVILIAN TARGETING AND RUSSIAN ANTI-SEMITIC/ANTI-UKRAINIAN PROPAGANDA. Continue to highlight Russian strikes on civilian targets (Kupiansk, Kharkiv, Horlivka, Kremenna) to maintain international pressure. Seek strong international condemnation of the escalating anti-Semitic and anti-Ukrainian propaganda from Russian state-aligned channels and their nuclear posturing, and especially the dangerous narrative linking Israel directly to the Ukraine conflict and attributing anti-Israeli sentiment to Ukrainians. Seek condemnation of Russia's overt alliance with DPRK. (Supports CR 4, CR 9, CR 39, CR 41).
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