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Situation Report

2025-04-22 23:53:56Z
Previous Report (2025-04-22 23:23:59Z)

Military Situation Update

As of Tue Apr 22 23:53:26 2025

I. Air Warfare & Strategic Strikes

  • Ongoing Russian UAV Attack (MAJOR & WIDESPREAD):

    • Kyiv Oblast/City (THREAT ENDED):
      • Air raid alert lifted in Kyiv City (KMVA, 23:19 UTC). Previous UAV threats addressed or diverted.
    • Kharkiv Oblast (RENEWED THREAT / MAJOR IMPACTS):
      • Renewed Threat: 1 new UAV reported over Kharkiv city (Vanek, 23:38 UTC). Potential for further impacts/air defence activity.
      • Previous Impacts: At least six separate explosions confirmed in Kharkiv City earlier due to drone strikes, all reportedly within the Novobavarskyi district, causing significant/large-scale fires (Mayor Terekhov, OVA Head Syniehubov, 22:03 - 23:18 UTC). Russian sources corroborated large fires with imagery (RVvoenkor, 22:59 UTC).
      • Transit: UAVs reported transiting from Kupyansk district towards/via Izium earlier (Vanek, 23:09 UTC), and now towards Donetsk Oblast (UA AF, 23:37 UTC).
    • Zaporizhzhia Oblast (ACTIVE THREAT / AD ENGAGEMENT):
      • Direct Threat: Multiple UAVs (at least 1-2) reported approaching Zaporizhzhia city from the east (UA AF, 23:19 UTC; Vanek, 23:24 UTC, 23:38 UTC). Potential impacts expected.
      • Air Defence: Air Defence operations are active in the Oblast (Zaporizhzhia OVA Head Fedorov, 23:25 UTC).
      • Inbound Waves: New groups of UAVs entered the Oblast earlier, moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (UA AF, 23:13 UTC). Oblast-wide air raid alert remains active.
    • Donetsk Oblast (INCREASED THREAT - KRAMATORSK FOCUS):
      • Kramatorsk Targeted: Multiple Shahed UAVs are transiting via Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, with the majority heading towards Kramatorsk (UA AF, 23:37 UTC). 1 UAV specifically reported approaching Kramatorsk (Vanek, 23:38 UTC). Potential impacts expected.
      • Konstantynivka Threat: 2 UAVs previously reported near Dobropillya heading towards Konstantynivka (Vanek, 23:09 UTC).
      • Pokrovsk Threat: ~4 UAVs previously reported moving towards Pokrovsk via eastern Dnipropetrovsk (Vanek, 22:30 UTC).
    • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (ACTIVE TRANSIT - KRAMATORSK DIRECTION):
      • UAVs actively transiting the oblast, primarily moving towards Donetsk Oblast, specifically Kramatorsk (UA AF, 23:37 UTC).
      • Groups entered from Zaporizhzhia Oblast earlier (UA AF, 23:13 UTC).
    • Poltava Oblast (IMPACTS CONFIRMED):
      • Impacts & Air Defence: Poltava OVA confirmed significant number of UAVs shot down earlier. However, confirmed hits on civilian infrastructure and enterprises occurred, resulting in power outages. Explosions heard attributed to both AD work and impacts (Poltava OVA Head Kogut, ~22:33 UTC). Current threat reduced.
    • Odesa Oblast (IMPACTS CONFIRMED):
      • Confirmed Impacts: Odesa OVA confirmed earlier strikes targeted civilian infrastructure in the suburbs. Multiple large fires resulted, corroborated by RU sources showing extensive blazes attributed to "Geran" UAVs (Operatyvnyi ZSU, RVvoenkor, 22:26-22:37 UTC).
      • Casualties: Confirmed 2 civilians injured (Odesa OVA, 21:40 UTC). Current drone threat status unclear.
    • Sumy/Chernihiv Oblasts: Served as initial transit points for UAVs entering from Russia.
    • Overall Air Raid Alerts: Remain active and dynamic across central, eastern, and southern Ukraine based on drone movements.

  • Vladimir Oblast Arsenal Aftermath (Kirzhach, Russia):

    • Ongoing Detonations: Confirmed by multiple sources, including Russian MoD. Extensive forest fires near the site continue.
    • Russian Response: MoD RU acknowledges detonation following a fire at a military storage facility. Investigation commission established. Official narrative remains accident/fire.
    • Assessment: Situation implies significant destruction of munitions, potentially impacting Russian logistics following a major UA deep strike event (Apr 22).

  • Russian Strikes (MoD Claims, Apr 22):

    • Claimed strikes engaged UAV production sites and temporary deployment areas of AFU personnel and foreign mercenaries.

  • Claimed Ukrainian Strikes:

    • Video evidence confirms FPV drone strikes by UA 63rd Mechanized Brigade targeting RU personnel (Operativnyi ZSU).
    • Previous reports include AASM HAMMER strike on RU CP, other FPV operations ("Ptahy Madyara").

II. Frontline Operations

  • Donetsk Front:
    • Pokrovsk Axis: Russian MoD claims liberation of Sukha Balka village. [Aligns with previous reporting, requires ongoing verification of control.]
    • Toretsk/Kramatorsk Axis (RU CLAIM): RU sources (Colonelcassad citing NM_DNR, 22:11 UTC) claim coordinated action by elements of the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army near Ivanopillia, alleging destruction of three UA artillery pieces (D-20, D-30, L119) using artillery and Lancet drones coordinated by reconnaissance drones. [RU claims, highlighting alleged coordination and use of Lancet/recon drones for counter-battery fire].
  • South Donetsk / Novopavlivsk Axis:
    • RU Claimed Air Strike: Russian sources (Colonelcassad citing Voin_DV, 23:03 UTC) claim Russian 11th Air Force and Air Defense Army bomber aircraft conducted strikes using 4 FAB-500 bombs with UMPK glide kits against alleged AFU positions in a treeline near Zelene Pole.
  • Kursk/Sumy Border Zone:
    • Hornal Monastery Area: RU sources maintain claim of FPV drone strikes by 810th Marine Bde inside Preobrazhensky Church, targeting alleged UA positions, killing 2 personnel. [RU claim, represents potential significant LOAC violation targeting a protected religious site.]
    • Russian MoD Claims (Apr 22): Continue to claim inflicting significant losses on UA forces operating in Kursk Oblast (>160 personnel, numerous equipment types). [RU claims, require verification.]

III. Other Developments

  • China-Ukraine Diplomacy (CONFIRMED DIPLOMATIC ACTION):
    • Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned the Chinese Ambassador in Kyiv (Ma Shenkun) on Apr 22.
    • Deputy Foreign Minister Perebyinis formally presented alleged evidence of Chinese citizens participating in hostilities against Ukraine on Russia's side and involvement of Chinese companies in Russian military production. Evidence reportedly provided to the Chinese side.
    • Ukraine urged China to cease any support for Russian aggression, emphasizing this contradicts stated Chinese neutrality and harms bilateral relations (MFA Ukraine via RBC-Ukraina, 22:56 UTC).
  • Kherson: Explosions were reported earlier; situation requires updated assessment.
  • Russian Personnel Readiness/Morale:
    • ASTRA report detailing severely wounded soldier forcibly returned to the front highlights potential systemic issues in Russian military medical evaluation, personnel treatment, and administrative processes.
    • Russian MoH Murashko announces demobilized participants of the "special operation" can undergo reproductive health checks (TASS, 22:03 UTC). [Potentially reflects long-term demographic/social concerns in Russia related to war casualties].
  • Reported US Policy Shift Discussion (Unverified):
    • Reports in UK press (The Daily Telegraph, cited by TASS/Zona SVO) suggest a potential US peace plan proposal involving recognition of Crimea as Russian and lifting of US sanctions. [Requires significant verification; likely speculative or reflects discussion points, not confirmed policy].
    • Separate TASS report claims the Trump administration previously dismantled a group collecting data on alleged Russian war crimes. [Political/historical context, potential relevance to accountability efforts].
Previous Report (2025-04-22 23:23:59Z)